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Sunday, April 30, 2006

Iran Poses No Threat

Why should anyone care if Iran enriches uranium?

Iran's Secret Plan if Attacked by US Codenamed "Judgement Day"
According to Iran, the latest military plan includes:

1- A missile strike directly targeting the US bases in the Persian Gulf and Iraq, as soon as nuclear installations are hit.

2- Suicide operations in a number of Arab and Muslim countries against US embassies and missions and US military bases and economic and oil installations related to US and British companies. The campaign might also target the economic and military installations of countries allied with the United States .

3- Launch attacks by the Basij and the Revolutionary Guards and Iraqi fighters loyal to Iran against US and British forces in Iraq , from border regions in central and southern Iraq .

4- Hezbollah to launch hundreds of rockets against military and economic targets in Israel .

According to the source, in case the US military attacks continue, more than 50 Shehab-3 missiles will be targeted against Israel and the al Quads Brigades will give the go-ahead for more than 50 terrorists cells in Canada, the US and Europe to attack civil and industrial targets in these countries.

What about the last stage in the plan?

Here, the Iranian source hesitated before saying with worry; this stage might represent the beginning of a world war, given that extremists will seek to maximize civilian casualties by exploding germ and chemical bombs as well as dirty nuclear bombs across western and Arab cities.
Via LGF.
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3 Comments:

Blogger flippityflopitty said...

Only a matter of time...

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20060502/ap_on_re_mi_ea/iran_nuclear

You cant keep a good mullah down.

Eventually, it will happen. How else did NoKo and Pak get theirs?

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Uranium_enrichment

It doesnt take much.

The other side of the coin...

http://cfr.org/publication/10331/

What Joe and others fail to recognize is the continuous exportation of nuclear technology. The more who have it, the more that want it. Some are looking for the quick fix and others the long road to "prestige". In either case, Nuclear proliferation worldwide will continue to burden the west with an ominous threat.

Carnegie's valiant effort for non-proliferation begins to take on the same status as the UN - pretty, but what does it do. With continued global competition, the nuclear technology becomes an exportable commodity - herein lies the problem.

5/02/2006 09:20:00 AM  
Blogger Tanstaafl said...

Radioactivity at least gives itself away and its effects are relatively contained. Think Chernobyl.

Bioagents have far more scary potential. Think Ebola Flu.

That doesn't mean we should cave. They are the nihilistic fatalists, not us.

5/03/2006 12:16:00 AM  
Blogger flippityflopitty said...

Iran announced they have generated a stock of uranium at 4.8% purity (upper enrichment end for civilian nuke use). 20% is adequate for a crude bomb (probably adequate to render jerusalem a no prayer zone).

We need to address our foreign policy initiatives. We haven't played a decent game of microwave chicken since Cuba - and mutual annihilation saved the day - the mullahs arent afraid of death (or so we believe). Leaving us with preemptive strike or "welcome to the nukular club".

This is not about what will happen today, tomorrow or even five years from now. Iran with one or two nukes is a threat - no bones about it - but a limited one. They will cease to exist if they choose to use it as an offensive capability.

A war with Iran (promulgated by the bombing of the known nuke facilities and mining operations - with tactical nukes might I add) will put the USA in a military and foreign policy debacle. One which I believe the country will not recover from and end up in unsuccessful future foreign policy. Revenge runs deep - if we do not annihilate the entire country and their supporters, we will be faced with continuous jihad. The second choice is to negotiate a settlement where they win. If it is brokered through China or Russia it could appear we "caved" to international pressure, but we could renew "communications" with Iran and get back on a non-proliferation track.

If I am wrong and Iran foolishly nukes Isreal after acquiring one or two bombs, we can go in and pave Persia with the blessing of the entire international community. Who knows? They may even supply some military.

Do the diplomats have an idea for a "middle-ground" solution? I doubt it (or at least I doubt it will stop Iran - see NoKo and Pak).

This is one of those cost-risk assessments nobody wants to face - clearly either choice has high costs and risks.

5/03/2006 07:25:00 AM  

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